{"id":24153,"date":"2020-03-24T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-24T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/?p=24153"},"modified":"2023-05-30T11:35:39","modified_gmt":"2023-05-30T18:35:39","slug":"ai-under-the-hood-causalens","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/","title":{"rendered":"AI Under the Hood: causaLens"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"200\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/causaLens_logo.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-24154\" srcset=\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/causaLens_logo.jpg 200w, https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/causaLens_logo-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/causaLens_logo-110x110.jpg 110w, https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/causaLens_logo-50x50.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>In this regular insideBIGDATA feature we highlight our industry&#8217;s movers  and shakers, companies that are pushing technology forward, and setting  trends for innovation. We look at companies with a focus on big data,  data science, machine learning, AI and deep learning &#8211; some new, some  old, always leading, always dynamic. We also take deep dives into new  technology promoted (or hyped) as &#8220;AI&#8221; or my favorite &#8220;AI-powered&#8221; to  provide transparency for what&#8217;s really going on under the hood. Watch  this column for intimate coverage of some pretty cool firms doing some  pretty exciting things. Enjoy the ride! <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this installment of &#8220;AI Under the Hood&#8221; I introduce <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"causaLens (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.causalens.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">causaLens<\/a>, a London-based deep tech company building a machine that predicts the global economy in real-time. The company&#8217;s Growth Analyst reached out to me on LinkedIn, and I liked what I learned from the materials I received. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>vision = global_economy.predict().optimize()<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>causaLens is a leader in causal AI research. Causality is a major step towards developing true AI. The company&#8217;s technology transforms organizations by autonomously discovering valuable insights that optimize business outcomes. The company&#8217;s flagship product, a Causality Infused AutoML for time-series, goes beyond both traditional machine learning and AutoML. It has become the industry standard in the financial sector and other industries. causaLens is run by top scientists and engineers, 70% holding a PhD in a quantitative field.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>causaLens is an industry leader in time-series and causality. Their AutoML product specializes in time-series and became an industry standard in finance. Example use-cases include: autonomously discover and backtest predictive signals, automatically evaluate (alternative) data sets, and autonomously discover &amp; productize predictive models and strategies. <br>All the company&#8217;s models are infused with causality that prevents spurious correlations and overfitting. <br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-vimeo wp-block-embed-vimeo wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"embed-vimeo\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/379233265\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" webkitallowfullscreen mozallowfullscreen allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Genesis of Causal AI<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Current machine learning approaches have produced remarkable achievements for certain types of data such as images and language &#8211; where the training data is plentiful, and the underlying &#8220;data generating process&#8221; does not vary over time. For example, it takes many years for a language to evolve and a cat always looks like a cat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, there has been surprisingly little progress for data types such as time-series, which are ubiquitous in finance and business. The problem is that current machine learning approaches &#8220;overfit&#8221; the data &#8211; they attempt to learn the past perfectly, instead of uncovering the &#8220;real&#8221;, or causal, relationships that will continue to hold over time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At present, predictive models for time-series are mostly curve fitting exercises. As a consequence, models are driven by parameters that happened to correlate in the past but may not be capable of predicting the future. causaLens believes that a new theory of how to build intelligent machines is required. Machines need to be capable of understanding \u201ccause and effect\u201d in order to advance machine learning and to make reliable predictions of revenues, stock prices or real estate yields.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p>&#8220;It is widely known the current machine learning approaches underperform and overfit for time-series problems,&#8221; said Darko Matovski, CEO of causaLens. &#8220;At causaLens we believe that a new theory of how to build intelligent machines is required. Machines need to be capable of understanding &#8217;cause&#8217; and &#8216;effect&#8217; in order to advance machine learning and bring us one step closer to true AI. causaLens was founded with the mission to devise Causal AI, which does not overfit, and so provides far more reliable and accurate predictions.&#8221; <\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Getting Results with Causal AI<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Current approaches often result both in false positives, identifying drivers that are not predictive; and in false negatives, failing to identify predictive drivers. In contrast, Causal AI technology is specifically designed to uncover the true causal relationships in data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In terms of case studies, the company applied this technology and found that Qatar LNG shipping exports are a stable predictive signal for UK natural gas futures, while also identifying that the correlation between Trinidad &amp; Tobago shipping exports is spurious. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To show that the causal relationships identified lead to improved models in the real world, thousands of models were built. Half of the models were discovered by Causal AI and the other half were built using standard machine learning techniques. Both sets of models were then given data they hadn\u2019t previously seen to make new predictions of the price of natural gas and assess their performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Models built with Causal AI had an average model score 42% higher, including 13% higher directional accuracy, than those built with current standard methods. This study demonstrates how using Causal AI to identify true causal drivers can result in better models that will maintain their performance in production.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Daniel_2018_pic.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-21778\" width=\"105\" height=\"120\" srcset=\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Daniel_2018_pic.png 200w, https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Daniel_2018_pic-131x150.png 131w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 105px) 100vw, 105px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>C<em>ontributed by Daniel D. Gutierrez, Managing Editor and Resident \n Data Scientist for insideBIGDATA. In addition to being a tech  \njournalist, Daniel also is a consultant in data scientist, author,  \neducator and sits on a number of advisory boards for various start-up  \ncompanies.&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Sign up for the free insideBIGDATA&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/newsletter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">newsletter<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this installment of &#8220;AI Under the Hood&#8221; I introduce causaLens, a London-based deep tech company building a machine that predicts the global economy in real-time. The company&#8217;s Growth Analyst reached out to me on LinkedIn, and I liked what I learned from the materials I received. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":24154,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[526,1297,87,180,56,1],"tags":[437,324,860,95],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>AI Under the Hood: causaLens - insideBIGDATA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AI Under the Hood: causaLens - insideBIGDATA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In this installment of &quot;AI Under the Hood&quot; I introduce causaLens, a London-based deep tech company building a machine that predicts the global economy in real-time. The company&#039;s Growth Analyst reached out to me on LinkedIn, and I liked what I learned from the materials I received.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"insideBIGDATA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/insidebigdata\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-03-24T15:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-05-30T18:35:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/causaLens_logo.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Daniel Gutierrez\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@AMULETAnalytics\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@insideBigData\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Daniel Gutierrez\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/\",\"name\":\"AI Under the Hood: causaLens - insideBIGDATA\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-03-24T15:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-05-30T18:35:39+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/#\/schema\/person\/2540da209c83a68f4f5922848f7376ed\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"AI Under the Hood: causaLens\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/\",\"name\":\"insideBIGDATA\",\"description\":\"Your Source for AI, Data Science, Deep Learning &amp; Machine Learning Strategies\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/#\/schema\/person\/2540da209c83a68f4f5922848f7376ed\",\"name\":\"Daniel Gutierrez\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/5780282e7e567e2a502233e948464542?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/5780282e7e567e2a502233e948464542?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Daniel Gutierrez\"},\"description\":\"Daniel D. Gutierrez is a Data Scientist with Los Angeles-based AMULET Analytics, a service division of AMULET Development Corp. He's been involved with data science and Big Data long before it came in vogue, so imagine his delight when the Harvard Business Review recently deemed \\\"data scientist\\\" as the sexiest profession for the 21st century. Previously, he taught computer science and database classes at UCLA Extension for over 15 years, and authored three computer industry books on database technology. He also served as technical editor, columnist and writer at a major computer industry monthly publication for 7 years. Follow his data science musings at @AMULETAnalytics.\",\"sameAs\":[\"http:\/\/www.insidebigdata.com\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/@AMULETAnalytics\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/author\/dangutierrez\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"AI Under the Hood: causaLens - insideBIGDATA","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/24\/ai-under-the-hood-causalens\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"AI Under the Hood: causaLens - insideBIGDATA","og_description":"In this installment of \"AI Under the Hood\" I introduce causaLens, a London-based deep tech company building a machine that predicts the global economy in real-time. 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Gutierrez is a Data Scientist with Los Angeles-based AMULET Analytics, a service division of AMULET Development Corp. He's been involved with data science and Big Data long before it came in vogue, so imagine his delight when the Harvard Business Review recently deemed \"data scientist\" as the sexiest profession for the 21st century. Previously, he taught computer science and database classes at UCLA Extension for over 15 years, and authored three computer industry books on database technology. He also served as technical editor, columnist and writer at a major computer industry monthly publication for 7 years. Follow his data science musings at @AMULETAnalytics.","sameAs":["http:\/\/www.insidebigdata.com","https:\/\/twitter.com\/@AMULETAnalytics"],"url":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/author\/dangutierrez\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/causaLens_logo.jpg","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9eA3j-6hz","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":24376,"url":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/05\/11\/ai-under-the-hood-decormatters\/","url_meta":{"origin":24153,"position":0},"title":"AI Under the Hood: DecorMatters","date":"May 11, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"In this installment of \u201cAI Under the Hood\u201d I introduce Silicon Valley-based DecorMatters, a compelling creativity-sharing ecosystem that brings together interior designers and furniture shoppers to make any home renovation project easier and more affordable. Founded in 2016, DecorMatters is powered by augmented reality and AI technology, and is redefining\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;AI Deep Learning&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/yOIedPez1ms\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":24854,"url":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/08\/10\/ai-under-the-hood-flippy-the-robot\/","url_meta":{"origin":24153,"position":1},"title":"AI Under the Hood: Flippy the Robot","date":"August 10, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"In this installment of \u201cAI Under the Hood\u201d I introduce \"Flippy\" by Miso Robotics. Flippy works in fast-food kitchens, operating a frying station for example. The product was decades in the making in terms of research in robotics and machine learning. Flippy is an amalgamation of motors, sensor, chips and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;AI Deep Learning&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Miso_paper.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":24062,"url":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/03\/19\/ai-under-the-hood-kaskada-inc\/","url_meta":{"origin":24153,"position":2},"title":"AI Under the Hood: Kaskada, Inc.","date":"March 19, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"In this installment of \"AI Under the Hood\" I introduce Kasakda, Inc., a Seattle-based early stage company founded in January 2018. Kaskada is a machine learning platform for feature engineering using event-based data. Kaskada\u2019s platform allows data scientists to unify the feature engineering process across their organizations with a single\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;AI Deep Learning&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":24336,"url":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/04\/29\/ai-under-the-hood-playform\/","url_meta":{"origin":24153,"position":3},"title":"AI Under the Hood: Playform","date":"April 29, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"In this installment of \u201cAI Under the Hood\u201d I introduce recently launched Playform (Artrendex Inc.), a generative AI collaborative tool for artists. The company\u2019s tech publicist reached out to me around when the global pandemic became serious, so it's taken a while for me to write this review. But I\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;AI Deep Learning&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26483,"url":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2021\/06\/17\/ai-under-the-hood-object-detection-model-capable-of-identifying-floating-plastic-beneath-the-surface-of-the-ocean\/","url_meta":{"origin":24153,"position":4},"title":"AI Under the Hood: Object Detection Model Capable of Identifying Floating Plastic Beneath the Surface of the Ocean","date":"June 17, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"A group of researchers, Gautam Tata, Sarah-Jeanne Royer, Olivier Poirion, and Jay Lowe, have written a new paper \"DeepPlastic: A Novel Approach to Detecting Epipelagic Bound Plastic Using Deep Visual Models.\" The workflow described in the paper includes creating and preprocessing a domain-specific data set, building an object detection model\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;AI Deep Learning&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"deep learning","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/shutterstock_1096541144.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":24721,"url":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/2020\/07\/11\/research-highlights-exbert\/","url_meta":{"origin":24153,"position":5},"title":"Research Highlights: ExBERT","date":"July 11, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"In the insideBIGDATA Research Highlights column we take a look at new and upcoming results from the research community for data science, machine learning, AI and deep learning. Our readers need to get a glimpse for technology coming down the pipeline that will make their efforts more strategic and competitive.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;AI Deep Learning&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/exBERT_fig.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24153"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24153"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24153\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24154"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24153"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24153"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insidebigdata.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24153"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}